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U.S. Treasury volatility has fallen to its lowest level since 2021 as the MOVE Index dropped to 67 points. The decline reflects growing market stability following recent Fed rate cuts, tighter corporate credit spreads, and easing Treasury yields. The 10-year yield has fallen by 70 basis points to 4.10%, signaling renewed confidence in U.S. bond …
The Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) injected $29.4 billion into the U.S. banking system through overnight repurchase agreements on October 31, 2025 — the largest liquidity boost since the Dot-Com Bubble. The sudden spike in repo activity indicates mounting stress in short-term funding markets, raising questions about underlying fragility within U.S. banks despite a seemingly stable …
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s September 23, 2025 speech in Rhode Island highlighted the Fed’s cautious stance after its latest rate cut. He warned of slowing U.S. growth, labor market weakness, and persistent inflation pressures while stressing data-driven policy ahead of the October FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell Warns of ‘Challenging Balancing Act’ U.S. Federal …
Global markets are betting on a September Federal Reserve rate cut after Chair Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech signaled a policy pivot. Jefferies’ Chief Market Strategist David Cerbos, also mentioned as a possible future Fed chair, welcomed the shift but criticized the Fed for acting too late and keeping monetary policy unnecessarily restrictive. Despite …
The U.S. Treasury repurchased $2 billion in debt on August 25, 2025, contributing to $6 billion in buybacks last week. Learn why the buyback program was relaunched, how it impacts bond yields, equity markets, and U.S. national debt sustainability as it tops $37 trillion. U.S. Treasury Debt Buyback: $2 Billion on August 25, $6 Billion …
The week of August 25–29, 2025 could decide Wall Street’s fate. With inflation data, GDP revisions, jobless claims, and Powell’s Fed signals on deck—plus blockbuster earnings from Nvidia, Alibaba, Dell, and more—markets brace for volatility. A September Fed rate cut hangs in the balance, making this one of the most decisive weeks of the year …
Global investors are bracing for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated Jackson Hole speech, a defining moment for U.S. monetary policy amid tariff wars, surging bankruptcies, and an affordability crisis in housing. With President Donald Trump ramping up pressure for immediate rate cuts and the Fed balancing political independence with economic realities, Powell’s words …
Markets Fully Price In September Fed Rate Cut :The CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 100% probability of an interest rate cut at the U.S. Federal Reserve’s September 17, 2025 meeting, with markets expecting a 25–50 bps reduction from the current 4.25%–4.50% range. Traders see no chance of a hike or no change, signaling a …
The U.S. Treasury MOVE Index has plunged to 79.20, its lowest level since January 2022, signaling unprecedented calm in the bond market. This drop in volatility reflects investor confidence in Federal Reserve policy stability, easing inflation concerns, and a resilient U.S. economy, but history warns that such tranquility can precede sharp market shifts. U.S. Treasury …
VantageRock’s Avery Sheffield warns that the bond market could play a decisive role if President Trump appoints a less independent Federal Reserve Chair. She highlights economic slowdown signals, market vulnerability, and urges investors to focus on valuations and adopt a selective defensive strategy amid high risk appetite and tariff-driven inflation concerns. Bond Market May Push …